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Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it... Read more
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent nearly two decades as a businessman and quantitative trader before becoming a full-time philosophical essayist and academic researcher in 2006. Although he spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity"?that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages.
Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book intends to change the way you think about business and the world.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions.
Shares philosophical insights into how adversity and chaos can bring out the best in individuals and communities, drawing on multiple disciplines to consider such topics as the superiority of city states over nation states, the drawbacks of debt, and whymodern developments usually fail.
Dynamic Hedging is the definitive source on derivatives risk. It provides a real-world methodology for managing portfolios containing any nonlinear security. It presents risks from the vantage point of the option market maker and arbitrage operator.
Contends that randomness and probability have a large impact on life, claims that people regularly fail to recognize that role, and tells how to differentiate between randomness in general and the financial markets in particular.
Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes....
Upgrading your order to Express Delivery
Most of our bestselling titles are available for express delivery within the UK, just look out for the Express Delivery on the product page.
There are two speedy upgraded delivery options for mainland UK:
Royal Mail First Class (1-2 working days, except Sundays) just £2.85 per order
Tracked next day courier (next working day) just £4.95 per order
Royal Mail First Class - £2.85 per order:
Royal Mail aims to deliver within 1-2 working days* (Mon-Saturday). Order before 13:00 Mon-Friday (excluding public holidays) and your books should arrive the next day (excludes Sunday & public holidays). This delivery service is not tracked.
Tracked next day courier - £4.95 per order:
Guaranteed, tracked and signed for, next working day* courier delivery. Order before 17:00 Mon-Thursday and receive your book the next day (excludes Saturday, Sunday & public holidays). Our courier delivers between 08:00 and 19:00.
*Northern Ireland, Scottish Highlands and Islands usually receive a 2-3 working day service for First Class. For Tracked Courier, it’s a 2 working day service and you need to order by 15:00. Unfortunately, we don't currently offer Express Delivery outside the UK, Gibraltar, Guernsey or Jersey. All deliveries are subject to cut-off times and public holidays.
‘Ready To Go’ - What is it?
These are essentially books that are in our U.K warehouse, which are ready to be dispatched, pretty swiftly (usually within 1-2 working days!).
The dispatch time frame is factored into the delivery estimate you see on this page.
Don’t forget every single book on our website is available with free worldwide delivery, no minimum spend required.